PJM Weather β†’ Load Β· Mega-Ensemble Dashboard

πŸ”Œ PJM Load Forecast (new model)

Ensemble load forecast β€” hourly plume + daily peak distribution
load forecast zonal

🧠 Load Model β€” Breakdown

cloud deepdive
Model breakdown: response curves, growth, importance
recent bias
solar gain
station weights map
variable relationships

πŸ—ΊοΈ PJM Population-Weighted Regions

PJM regions β€” guidance drift heatmap (48h OLS trend, Β°F/day)
PJM regions β€” extreme-heat probability (absolute + vs-normal)
PJM (whole) β€” pop-weighted plume
PJM sub-regions β€” high distribution
PJM sub-regions β€” low distribution
PJM sub-regions β€” high trend
PJM sub-regions β€” low trend
PJM (whole) β€” pop-weighted trend

πŸ“Š PJM Overview & Run-to-Run Trend

PJM cities β€” guidance drift heatmap (48h OLS trend, Β°F/day)
PJM cities β€” extreme-heat probability (absolute + vs-normal)
PJM cities β€” daily-high distribution grid
PJM cities β€” daily-low distribution grid
PJM cities β€” daily-high run-to-run trend
PJM cities β€” daily-low run-to-run trend

🌑️ Washington DC β€” Mega-Ensemble (example city)

Guidance drift β€” 48h linear trend of the median (per-day drift arrows)
Extreme-heat probability β€” P(exceedance), current vs previous run
KDCA β€” focus-day histogram
Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
Ridgeline β€” distribution by forecast day
12-hour cycle-to-cycle shift

πŸ™οΈ PJM Cities β€” Mega-Ensemble Plumes

KABE β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KACY β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KBWI β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KCLE β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KCMH β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KCRW β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KCVG β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KDAY β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KEWR β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KFWA β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KILG β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KIND β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KLEX β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KMDT β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KORD β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KORF β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KPHL β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KPIT β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KRIC β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KROA β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)
KTOL β€” Mega-ensemble plume (high/low, members by model)